We’re looking at seasonal weather predictions to see how fall will feel this year in Madison

Prepare for fall weather in Madison with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

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Madison neighborhoods really shine in the fall. | Photo by 608today

Table of Contents

We know the question on your mind this week, Madisonians — when’s it going to get cool off again? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for September, October, and November. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what fall will bring.

Reminder: The first official day of fall is just one month away on Saturday, Sept. 23.

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Learn more by checking out NOAA.gov | Graphic via NOAA

Temperature and Precipitation

This fall, Madison is predicted to experience typical fall temperatures and precipitation levels for the area. Keep reading to learn more about our typical temps during each fall month.


In the Midwest, the remainder of August is expected to be drier than normal, with only several-tenths of an inch anticipated. These drought conditions are expected to persist into fall, with a chance of slight improvement.


September kicks off fall by bringing more agreeable weather to the city. Temperatures typically range from an average low of 52° to a comfortable average high of 71.1°. This transition into September marks a subtle shift in Madison’s climate, bringing the average high temperature down more than 6° from August’s 77.4°.

77.4°?! Sounds great. We’re all feeling the heat this August, with this week’s high creeping near 100°. Be sure to check on your elderly or unhoused neighbors, and find a nearby cooling center if need be.


In October, highs can reach 70°, but the average temperature will often stay in-between 42° and 57°. Here’s something to look forward to — October (along with April) is the least humid month of the year in the 608. Fun fact: The city’s first snowfall of the year typically happens during October.


November’s weather serves as a reminder that winter is near with its average high temps barely reaching 43°, a 15° drop from October. If an average low temperature of 30° doesn’t make you want to curl up in bed, the end of Daylight Saving Time on Sunday, November 5 sure will.

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