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Spring weather outlook in Madison

Prepare for spring weather in Madison with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.

a small white flower blooming amidst bright green brush

Spring is right around the corner in Madison. | Photo by Europa Christoffel

Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in Madison this spring, March-June.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what spring will bring.

Reminder: Spring starts on Tuesday, March 19, and ends on Thursday, June 20

Think warm. This spring, Madison has a 40-50% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

Weather outlook map indicating that Madison is leaning toward having a warmer-than-average spring in 2024.

Expect a warmer spring in 2024, Madison. | Map via NOAA

Expect average precipitation. Madison has an equal chance of seeing below-normal rainfall amounts as seeing higher-than-average rainfall this spring.

While Madison’s drought conditions are expected to remain not particularly problematic this season, we’re not far from some northwest areas of Dane County that are currently abnormally dry. We can expect that to persist over the spring.

Typically in Madison, March’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 23° and an average high of 44°, but this year has been different. Temperatures have been averaging around the low to mid-50s thus far and we can expect that trend to continue through the end of the month.

In April, the average high and low temps are between 36° and 57°. We usually see about 3.4 inches of precipitation which kicks off the seasonal uptick as May and June each bring even more.

May looks to be the first full month of “T-shirt weather” in Madison with average highs and lows ranging from 42°-74°. We’ll see around 8.5 hours of sunshine per day throughout the month.

June brings the highest precipitation levels of the year in Madison at about 4.55 inches throughout the month (an inch higher than May’s average of 3.55 inches). Temperatures will be slightly above the average high of 78° and aren’t expected to dip below 50°.

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